CFTC warns prediction markets against American-style casino odds
After publishing: 4 headlines quietly rewritten, 1 article removed5 changes
- lowellsun.comseen 11 Sept, 14:29headline rewritten
Midterms could test how trading on prediction markets affects results2026’s elections could test how heavy trading on prediction markets affects races and results - greeleytribune.comseen 11 Sept, 14:29headline rewritten
Midterms could test how trading on prediction markets affects results2026’s elections could test how heavy trading on prediction markets affects races and results - lowellsun.comseen 30 Sept, 16:02headline rewritten
NY sues prediction market Polymarket, calling it unlicensed gamblingNew York sues prediction market Polymarket, calling it an unlicensed gambling operation - advocate-news.comseen 6 Oct, 15:46headline rewritten
NY sues prediction market Polymarket, calling it unlicensed gamblingNew York sues prediction market Polymarket, calling it an unlicensed gambling operation - netscape.comseen 8 Oct, 23:49article removed
last seen headline
2026's elections could test how heavy trading on prediction markets affects races and results
What it is about
Who published it, and when
+ 19 more outlets
How it spread - 68 original reports, 9 reprints
Mon, 10 August 2026
1 report- thetimes-tribune.com22:07first to report
The CFTC specifically called out the use of American-style gambling odds to market a wager.
Tue, 11 August 2026
3 reports- fishduck.com10:19
A Nevada gaming official cautioned that event contracts mimicking casino games could follow sports-betting-style prediction markets nationwide.
- fishduck.com10:20
ProphetX's CFTC-regulated exchange will supply sports event contracts to Pikkit users ahead of the NFL season, expanding its B2B footprint.
- coindesk.com10:34
The flight-tracking service filed a federal lawsuit in New York, claiming the prediction market violated terms of service and infringed on its trademark.
Sat, 15 August 2026
2 reports- yahoo.com14:58
Aug 15 () - Prediction market operator Kalshi accused Nevada's gaming regulator of violating federal law in a statement on Saturday after it sought daily penalties of $120,000 a day over the firm's alleged failure to comply with a geofencing order. • Board investigators successfully placed nine trades on Kalshi's mobile application while connected to cellular networks in Nevada, a day after a court-ordered deadline for the company to have a complete geofencing solution in place, according
- The Hill18:14
Kalshi is pushing back against the state of Nevada’s claims that the prediction market operator failed to comply with geofencing requirements, accusing the state’s gaming regulator of violating federal law. In a motion filed in state court on Friday evening, state prosecutors argued that the firm failed to implement a geofencing solution by Aug. 12...
Mon, 17 August 2026
1 report- casino.org21:37
Alpaca Angling for Prediction Market Entry.
Mon, 24 August 2026
2 reports- investmentnews.com07:01
Regulated prediction markets for retail brokerage clients is the latest sign that prediction markets are entering the mainstream investing toolkit.
- yahoo.com21:12
The partnership will provide Apex's brokerage clients with regulated access to crypto event contracts through Gemini's platform, expanding beyond Kalshi.
Fri, 28 August 2026
7 reports- Google News - Top Stories18:17
States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules CNN Federal court deals big blow to prediction markets like Kalshi SFGATE Federal appeals court rules that states can regulate betting markets NBC Sports Kalshi cannot block Nevada oversight of prediction markets, US appeals court rules Reuters U.S. appeals court rules against prediction markets, sets up likely fight at Supreme Court CNBC
- Google News - Top Stories20:42
Federal appeals court rules that states can regulate betting markets NBC Sports States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules CNN Kalshi can't evade Nevada gambling laws by calling bets "swaps," court rules Ars Technica Kalshi cannot block Nevada oversight of prediction markets, US appeals court rules Reuters U.S. appeals court rules against prediction markets, sets up likely fight at Supreme Court CNBC
- Google News - Top Stories21:34
9th Circuit sides with states in Kalshi gambling fight, potentially reviving Arizona's prosecution Arizona Mirror U.S. appeals court rules against prediction markets, sets up likely fight at Supreme Court CNBC Court rules Kalshi sports bets aren’t “swaps,” just gambling with a different name Ars Technica Kalshi cannot block Nevada oversight of prediction markets, US appeals court rules Reuters States can regulate prediction markets as gambling, federal appeals court rules CNN
- 10news.com22:00
A federal appeals court ruled Friday that states can regulate prediction markets like gambling, dealing a major blow to the booming industry.
- pqbnews.com22:09
This means much of the activity on their platforms is illegal in B.C.
1 reprint
- saobserver.net28 Aug, 22:09their copy
- The Hill22:13
The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled Friday that states can regulate prediction market platforms like gambling and sportsbooks, dealing a heavy blow to the industry. In a unanimous ruling, a three-judge panel agreed with a lower court decision allowing Nevada gaming regulators to oversee the prediction market Kalshi, which argued only the federal government...
- Google News - Top Stories23:15
Prediction Markets Should Be Regulated as Gambling, Appeals Court Says The New York Times 9th Circuit sides with states in Kalshi gambling fight, potentially reviving Arizona's prosecution Arizona Mirror Federal appeals court rules Nevada can regulate Kalshi Las Vegas Review-Journal U.S. appeals court rules against prediction markets, sets up likely fight at Supreme Court CNBC Court rules Kalshi sports bets aren’t “swaps,” just gambling with a different name Ars Technica
Sat, 29 August 2026
1 report- South China Morning Post02:19
A former White House teleprompter operator accused of using inside knowledge to make bets on the prediction market Kalshi has been ordered to turn over more than US$100,000 in profits and pay a US$65,000 fine as part of a settlement with federal authorities. The settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, announced on Friday, also dealt Gabriel Perez a three-year trading ban. Perez was placed on unpaid leave from his job at the White House after reports emerged that he used his...
Sun, 30 August 2026
1 report- rotowire.com22:33
Mon, 31 August 2026
2 reports- taylorvilledailynews.com08:12
By Douglas Gillison WASHINGTON, Aug 31 (Reuters) – Prediction market company Polymarket is fully prepared to police trading on its platform as the approaching U.S. midterm elections test the industry’s controls, the company’s new global head of investigations and intelligence told Reuters. Polymarket is also […]
- rotowire.com18:03
Prediction markets in Texas have become a popular option due to the state lacking traditional betting options. Learn all about TX prediction market apps here.
Tue, 1 September 2026
4 reports- rotowire.com13:03
- rotowire.com13:33
Looking for legal Florida prediction market apps? I've outlined some of the top prediction markets in Florida that are available today.
- rotowire.com13:33
Trying to find legal Georgia prediction market apps? I've outlined some of the top prediction markets in Georgia that are available to trade with today.
- rotowire.com13:33
Wed, 2 September 2026
3 reports- Channel News Asia16:01
- The Hill17:00
New Jersey asked the Supreme Court on Wednesday to weigh in on a growing legal battle between prediction markets and states over who has the authority to regulate the platforms. It marks the first time that the dispute, which has resulted in conflicting decisions at the appellate level, has been raised to the justices. “Companies...
- NPR News18:17
If the high court accepts the petition, it would tee up a case with sweeping implications for prediction markets, an industry that has unleashed billions of dollars of betting across nearly every aspect of modern life.
4 reprints
- kawc.org2 Sept, 18:17their copy
- wuky.org2 Sept, 18:17their copy
- kenw.org2 Sept, 18:17their copy
- wknofm.org2 Sept, 18:17their copy
Fri, 4 September 2026
13 reports- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
- iheart.com16:08
The American Gaming Association reports nearly $30 billion will be wagered on NFL games this season.
Mon, 7 September 2026
1 report- The Hill10:00
Prediction markets have arrived at the Supreme Court’s doorstep. New Jersey this past week urged the justices to settle how prediction markets should be regulated, and a split among the nation’s appeals courts is increasing expectations that they may be inclined to get involved. The Trump administration is trying to push states out, hoping to keep prediction markets under...
Tue, 8 September 2026
5 reports- stcatharinesstandard.ca11:04
HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Election-season trading on prediction markets, including in this fall’s biggest races, is skyrocketing while states fight to outlaw the platforms as unlicensed casinos and begin to
- netscape.com12:45removed by the outlet
2026's elections could test how heavy trading on prediction markets affects races and results2 reprints
- lowellsun.com8 Sept, 15:55their copy
- greeleytribune.com8 Sept, 15:55their copy
- Channel News Asia14:32
- The Hill21:29
{beacon} Technology Technology The Big Story Prediction markets’ regulation draws closer to Supreme Court Prediction markets have arrived at the Supreme Court’s doorstep. Erin Hooley, Associated Press file New Jersey this past week urged the justices to settle how prediction markets should be regulated, and a split among the nation’s appeals courts is increasing expectations that they may...
- PBS NewsHour21:482026's elections could test how skyrocketing trading on prediction markets affects races and results
Officials' fears revolve around the fear that pervasive financial incentives will further damage confidence in elections and democracy if Americans think they're influencing the outcome.
Wed, 9 September 2026
2 reports- covers.com20:18
Prediction markets are dialing up a blitz of celebrity-filled advertising that coincides with the start of the NFL regular season.
- covers.com23:07
H2 Gambling Capital expects U.S. sportsbooks to draw $31.4 billion in NFL handle this season, with prediction markets siphoning off demand.
Fri, 18 September 2026
2 reports- kctv5.com16:34
The cease-and-desist letters were sent to Polymarket, Kalshi, Crypto.com, Novig, Underdog and Robinhood.
- covers.com17:42
The CFTC has opened the door to even more participation in the prediction market game, and one Native American tribe in Louisiana already wants in.
Wed, 23 September 2026
1 report- covers.com13:41
The CFTC's warnings about "mention markets" could also be a warning about “microbetting” via prediction markets.
Thu, 24 September 2026
6 reports- PBS NewsHour16:09
Prediction market platforms have argued states do not have the authority to govern them because they are already regulated at the federal level by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
2 reprints
- advocate-news.com24 Sept, 16:58their copy
- lowellsun.com24 Sept, 16:58their copy
- The Hill17:02
New York sued Polymarket on Thursday, accusing the prediction market platform of running an illegal gambling operation. It marks the latest lawsuit from the Empire State, which has levied similar allegations against Kalshi, Coinbase and Gemini in recent months. “I will always stand up for New Yorkers when bad corporate actors prey on consumers and...
- gizmodo.com19:10
The suit comes two months after New York sued Kalshi.
- Al Jazeera English20:15
The lawsuit comes two months after the state filed a similar lawsuit against competitor Kalshi.
- PBS NewsHour22:35
As prediction markets continue to expand, they are drawing attention in Washington and states across the country. Companies like Kalshi and Polymarket allow people to trade contracts tied to the outcomes of real-world events, including elections. Liz Landers discussed the growing calls for more regulation with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour.
- Channel News Asia23:21
Mon, 28 September 2026
1 report- Channel News Asia10:05
Fri, 2 October 2026
1 report- NPR News09:00
The dark side of the prediction market boom is becoming more clear: Experts say the sites have become go-to outlets for gambling addicts to relapse as the companies avoid state consumer protections.
Sat, 3 October 2026
1 report- The Guardian World08:00
Revelation comes amid mounting concern over online prediction market’s effects on integrity of financial system UK authorities are being urged to intervene after it emerged that the online prediction market Polymarket has been taking thousands of dollars worth of bets over whether HSBC and Lloyds will fail. Polymarket – the US-owned company which holds bets on anything from football matches, to the existence of aliens, to when a bomb drops on a city – has allowed users to take $77,507 (£58,530)...
Thu, 8 October 2026
1 report- The Hill15:43
The NFL urged the Supreme Court on Thursday to take up a case over who has the authority to regulate prediction markets, arguing that wagers on the platforms should fall under state gambling laws. The league filed an amicus brief as part of a dispute between Kalshi and the state of New Jersey, which has...
Fri, 9 October 2026
2 reports- Channel News Asia00:43
- nwaonline.com06:56
The NFL is urging the Supreme Court to rule on the regulation of prediction markets after the league accounted for $1.8 billion in trading volume on the first Sunday of this season alone, arguing that states are better positioned to oversee sports-related contracts "given the current landscape."
Sun, 11 October 2026
1 report- Il Fatto Quotidiano (Italy)07:15
Puntare sul vincitore dello scudetto, o delle prossime elezioni politiche, è una semplice scommessa o un vero e proprio derivato finanziario? È su questa linea sottile che si decide la partita che Polymarket, Kalshi e gli altri colossi dei mercati predittivi stanno giocando per provare ad aprire le frontiere dei Paesi in cui la loro […] L'articolo Polymarket e i colossi delle scommesse vogliono diventare operatori finanziari in Europa: così puntano ad aggirare i divieti sul gioco d’azzardo...
Mon, 12 October 2026
2 reports- The Hill14:37
Most Americans regardless of party oppose betting on election results through prediction markets such as Kalshi or Polymarket, according to a new survey. A Reuters/Ipsos poll, released Monday, found that 60 percent of respondents did not support betting on election results, as the midterm elections near. Another 13 percent said they support betting, while 24...
- fox5atlanta.com18:19
A new poll finds that most Americans oppose election betting on prediction market platforms as policymakers’ express concerns of potential insider trading within the rapidly growing prediction sites industry.
Wed, 14 October 2026
1 report- ksl.com22:45
Betting on U.S. midterm elections has surged this year on Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction markets that rose to prominence in 2024 when they bucked traditional opinion polls in signaling that President Trump would win the presidency.
Mon, 19 October 2026
1 report- news4sanantonio.com03:00
A Texas Senate race has become one of Kalshi’s biggest election markets. As of Oct. 16, the platform showed more than $30 million in trading volume for the race